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After the release of ADP and GDP data in the United States, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September has increased.

2025-07-30 21:02

BlockBeats News, July 30th, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in July is 97.9% (consistent with pre-data release), and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.1%.


The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September is 37.9% (pre-U.S. ADP and GDP data release was 34%), the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 60.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 1.3%. (FXStreet)

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