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Analysis: S&P 500 has been above its 20-day moving average for 68 consecutive days, indicating that market volatility is expected to intensify.

2025-08-04 08:52

BlockBeats News, August 4th, The Kobeissi Letter released its latest analysis indicating whether stock market volatility is about to intensify. The volatility index VIX has dropped by about 45 points since April, reaching around 15 points, the lowest level since mid-February. Additionally, the S&P 500 Index has been trading above its 20-day moving average for 68 consecutive days, the longest streak since the 1990s.


Historically, market volatility has been low from May to July. However, starting in August, the VIX typically rises by about 5 points, approximately 30%, over the next 3 months. History suggests that increased market turbulence is on the horizon.

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