BlockBeats News, September 8th. With less than ten days until the Fed's September interest rate meeting, current market traders are betting on a high probability of a rate cut in September and a simultaneous increase in the probability of a rate cut in October.
According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of no rate cut in September by the Fed is now 0, with a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. This probability is reported as 87% on Polymarket.
Furthermore, traders are starting to bet on a rate cut in October. CME data shows that if the Fed cuts rates in September, the probability of another 25 basis point rate cut in October is 71.6%, a significant increase from last week's 48%.