PredictIt market investors are betting that the U.S. government shutdown will last 10 days or longer.

BlockBeats News, October 3rd, according to prediction market data, investors expect the U.S. government shutdown this time to last for 10 days or longer.

On the Kalshi platform, if the shutdown lasts more than 10 days, the trigger price for cash-settled contract trading is 63 cents, indicating that the market believes the probability of this scenario is 63%; if the shutdown exceeds 15 days, the corresponding probability for the cash settlement contract is 40%.

On the Polymarket platform, similar contracts show: the probability of the shutdown ending between October 10th and 14th is 34%, and the probability of lasting beyond October 15th is 40%.