Institutions across the board are predicting that the U.S. government shutdown will last at least 10 days, with the 15th day being a key milestone.

BlockBeats News, October 9th, a Wall Street institution provided analysis on the duration of the U.S. government shutdown as follows:

Morgan Stanley: U.S. Treasury bond options indicate that the U.S. government shutdown, which started on October 1st, will last at least 10 days and could last as long as 29 days.

Goldman Sachs: It is unlikely that the U.S. government shutdown will extend beyond October 15th, the date of the military pay day. If the shutdown continues beyond this date, active-duty military personnel will not receive their pay, which has never been allowed to happen.

Furthermore, data from the prediction platform Polymarket shows that the market believes there is an 85% chance that the U.S. government shutdown will not end until after October 15th; the probability of the U.S. Congress passing a spending bill before the end of October is 76%. (Jinse)