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Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:37) The Fed's Quadrilemma
(09:46) The Fed's Views Of The Beveridge Curve and Phillips Curve
(34:06) VanEck Ad
(34:46) The Slow Death Of The Interbank Lending Market (AKA Fed Funds Market)
(38:27) Fed Should Adopt Once More A "Bills-Only" Policy
(43:21) Lehman: A Retrospective
(48:47) Fannie & Freddie's Role In Facilitating The Growth Of Subprime Securitized Products
(50:46) Moral Hazard In The Banking System Before The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008
(01:02:48) Lehman's Biggest Exposure Was Commercial Real Estate (CRE & CMBS), Not Subprime Residential (RMBS)
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
Follow Eric Pachman on Twitter https://x.com/EricPachman
Follow Bancreek on Twitter https://x.com/bancreek
Bancreek’s CPI tool: https://www.bancreek.com/p/checking-the-tape-may-2024-cpiu
Bancreek’s PCE tool: https://www.bancreek.com/p/april-2024-pce-update
Bancreek’s labor market tree map: https://www.bancreek.com/p/us-employment-data-treemap
Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us
Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96
Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:57) The U.S. Labor Market
(03:57) Tree Map Of Where New U.S. Jobs Are Being Created (It's A LOT In Healthcare and Government Sector)
(19:50) VanEck Ad
(23:17) The Growth In U.S. Government Jobs
(28:39) U.S. Healthcare Industry Is Incentivized For High Prices And High Job Growth Is A Consequence
(45:00) Homebuilding, Oil & Gas, and Retail
(52:11) Inflation Masterclass: Differences Between CPI & PCE
(01:11:35) Healthcare in PCE & CPI
(01:28:46) With Housing Inflation Where It Is, It Is Nearly Statistically Impossible For Inflation To Be At Or Below The Fed's Target of 2%
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
