In this episode from the Empire podcast, we discuss why Blockworks decided to shut down its news room. We then dive into why 2025 marks the start of a new chapter for the crypto industry, why we're still in a bull market, MegaETH's ICO, recent IPOs, M&A and more. Enjoy!

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Follow Rob: https://x.com/HadickM

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Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal.

https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:25) Why Blockworks Closed The News Division

(13:32) Grayscale Ad

(14:10) The Next Chapter For Blockworks

(20:06) It’s Still A Bull Market

(24:30) Securitize Plans To Go Public At a $1.25B Valuation

(31:21) Grayscale Ad

(32:44) Western Union Announces USDPT

(50:07) Mastercard Looks To Acquire Zerohash

(56:10) Will Stripe’s Tempo Be a Success?

(1:04:01) The MegaETH ICO

(1:07:29) Content Of The Week

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

This week, we discuss the Fed meeting, including the end of quantitative tightening and the impact of its balance sheet plans. We also dig into how market structure imbalances and political polarization are reshaping markets, the “financial Hunger Games” of meme-driven trading, rising CapEx from AI megacaps, and the centralization of wealth and power across institutions. Enjoy!

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Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_

Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

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Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1E5w8fmngVNuC4lyl-PCV5qAPewW_lyKm/view?usp=sharing

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Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal.

https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(02:05) Private-Public Market Divergence

(05:08) Fed Meeting Takeaways

(11:17) Grayscale Ad

(11:56) Market Structure Rabbit Hole

(17:26) The Bifurcating Economy

(23:01) Fed Balance Sheet Changes

(27:40) Impact on Markets

(31:27) Grayscale Ad

(32:15) High-Yield Earnings & Market Concentration

(37:51) BigTech Capex Transition

(42:19) The Dystopian AI Future

(45:53) Why is Bitcoin Dumping?

(48:37) The Market is a Casino

(51:28) Realigning Market Incentives

(55:06) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

In this episode, Lyn Alden joins the show to explain how tariffs “slow the train but don’t stop it,” why the Fed’s rate hikes are disconnected from the true inflation source, and how Fed balance sheet expansion is returning. We also discuss the labor cracks, the hidden redistribution of interest income to wealthy savers, and the next phase of the debasement trade. Enjoy!

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Follow Lyn: https://x.com/LynAldenContact

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Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

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Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

__

Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal.

https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:35) Tariffs & the Fiscal Outlook

(09:13) The Flow of Interest Payments

(12:49) Grayscale Ad

(13:27) Government Shutdown Impact

(15:36) Fiscally-Dominant Economies

(19:51) Measuring Economic Weakness

(22:49) The State of the Labor Market

(26:09) Grayscale Ad

(26:56) Should the Fed Cut?

(30:56) How We Fight Inflation

(34:18) The Fed Balance Sheet

(41:20) Past vs Present Funding Constraints

(45:06) Fed Balance Sheet & Liquidity

(48:43) Active Treasury Issuance

(51:20) The Fed & Bank Liquidity

(53:03) The Debasement Trade

(57:54) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

This week, joined by Hunter Hopcroft to unpack the era of hyper-financialization and how credit creation, passive investing, and globalization have reshaped capitalism and market structure. We also dive into current volatility spikes, liquidity distortions, gold’s surge, and the setup for a year-end rally. Enjoy!

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Follow Hunter: https://www.lewisenterprises.blog/

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Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1t3LM4r8zRfHUIQxNqoPwrd7SFXsbqZo8/view?usp=sharing

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:05) Hunter Hopcroft

(03:57) The Old Market Structure

(07:39) The Line Between Debt & Equity

(09:53) The Financialization Model

(18:15) Crowding Out the Private Sector

(23:23) Signal from Credit Spreads

(27:38) The Effect of Passive & Private Credit

(29:57) Market Structure Endgame

(34:04) The Government & Markets

(39:07) Learn More About Hunter

(39:47) Hunter Takeaways

(43:18) Quant Corner

(50:17) Plumbing Breakdown

(53:31) Gold’s Parabolic Run

(55:02) Markets After OI Blowouts

(57:02) Reasons to be Bullish

(59:55) Crypto & US-China Meeting

(1:04:09) Boomer Retirement Complex

(1:06:22) Something Has to Change

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

In this episode, CIO of Bitwise Matt Hougan joins us live from DAS London to discuss the surging institutional demand for crypto, the accelerating growth of crypto ETFs, the impact of SEC rule changes, the rise of perpetuals and stablecoins, and how allocations from major institutions are expanding rapidly. Matt highlights why crypto is becoming mainstream in traditional finance and why the ETF landscape is only just beginning. Enjoy!

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Follow Matt: https://x.com/Matt_Hougan

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Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:42) Institutional Demand for Crypto

(02:10) Why 2025 ETF Flows Will Beat 2024

(03:10) Market Impact of ETFs

(05:37) SEC Authorizing In-Kind ETF

(06:52) Crypto Crash Stress Test

(08:05) Expedited SEC Approval

(09:42) The Future of Crypto ETFs

(12:08) Market Perp-ification & Stablecoin TAM

(17:10) Exotic ETF Structures & Retail Access

(19:15) ETF Tail Risks

(20:53) Options & the Expanding ETF Landscape

(24:05) What Excites Institutions?

(26:34) The Future of Crypto Allocations

(30:30) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

This week, we’re joined by Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital live from DAS London to break down the global liquidity cycle, the hidden recession and re-acceleration in the U.S., the impact of monetary debasement on gold and Bitcoin, China’s liquidity surge and stablecoin risks, and Europe’s structural challenges. We close with why today’s environment is truly unique in 4,000 years of monetary history. Enjoy!

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Follow Michael: https://x.com/crossbordercap

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Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:51) Where Are We in the Global Liquidity Cycle?

(05:26) Main St. Recession & Economic Rebound

(08:49) GDP vs Liquidity Cycles

(10:33) QE, Liquidity & Gold vs BTC

(15:44) No 4-Year Cycle But Still Bullish

(20:05) Stablecoins & China

(27:01) Europe’s Economic Struggles

(29:15) Developed Nation Decline

(34:55) How Unique is this Moment?

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

In this episode, CIO of ProCap Jeff Park unpacks the recent crypto market meltdown, the dangers of over-leveraging in perpetual futures, and why Bitcoin could now front-run altcoins. He also gives insights into ProCap’s work as a Bitcoin treasury company, the future of DATs, and reframes the “debasement trade” as a “purification trade” in today’s distorted macro environment. Enjoy!

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Follow Jeff: https://x.com/dgt10011

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(02:01) Crypto Meltdown Post-Mortem

(07:09) Where Do Markets Go From Here?

(08:26) Evolving DAT Strategy

(16:17) Debasement vs. Purification Trade

(21:25) What’s Different this Time?

(26:31) The Cost of Years of Debasement

(31:42) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

This week, we discuss the government shutdown and market melt-up, Paul Tudor Jones’ blow off bull market call, an update to the gold trade, the AI CapEx boom and its circular financing, and Quinn’s ETH bull thesis. Enjoy!

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Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_

Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD200 for 200 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Quf3Gf0AY0s6xyHJMmAGZeaZr-quBame/view?usp=sharing

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This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(03:43) Government Shutdown

(05:45) Realized Vol Tailwinds

(08:43) Gearing Up for Earnings Season

(11:12) Navigating the Melt Up

(12:57) VanEck Ad

(13:42) It’s Okay to Change Your Mind

(21:27) Markets Are Political

(26:44) The Gold Trade

(34:43) VanEck Ad

(35:23) The Gold Trade

(36:36) AI is the Market

(43:53) The ETH Thesis

(51:48) Retail Market Evolution

(56:41) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

In this episode, George Robertson returns to break down why he’s turned bearish. He explains why he thinks massive fiscal tightening from tariffs and job cuts, corporate profits rolling over, and the flow-of-funds are signaling recession even as markets sit at all-time highs. He walks through employment indicators, withholding data, and the widening gap between S&P levels and actual earnings, arguing the downturn has already begun. Enjoy!

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Follow George: https://x.com/BickerinBrattle

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

__

Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD200 for 200 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

__

This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(02:39) George’s Market Outlook

(05:38) Where the Money’s Moving?

(06:57) Trump’s Economic Ripple Effects

(08:56) How the Fed Shapes the Cycle

(15:12) VanEck Ad

(15:56) COVID Spending & Fiscal Fallout

(23:20) Are We in a Recession?

(32:09) VanEck Ad

(32:50) Jobs Data & FICA Withholding

(38:29) Taxes, Tariffs & Shorting the Market

(44:15) Supreme Court and Constitutional Risk

(48:59) When Does the Music Stop?

(54:50) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

This week, we dig into the government shutdown, weakening labor markets, AI’s role in productivity, Michael Howell’s demographic analysis, and how fiscal and market structure dynamics set the stage for a potential risk-asset melt-up. Enjoy!

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Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_

Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

—

Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD200 for 200 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

__

Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1qHbnslxFOFZXswRiw0yv1JCyplgm8haE/view?usp=sharing

—

This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(03:09) DAS London!

(04:06) Government Shutdown

(06:42) Labor Weakness Continues

(13:45) VanEck Ad

(14:31) Demographic Decay of Advanced Economies

(17:18) Are You Ready for Negative Real Yields?

(19:20) The Macro Stars Are Aligning

(24:40) Is it a Bubble or Not?

(29:53) VanEck Ad

(30:33) Is it a Bubble or Not?

(31:40) Gaming Out Trump Admin Policy

(38:06) Is there a Bear Case?

(41:27) Strong USD, Strong Economy

(43:52) Does the Bull Market Have Legs?

(51:14) Best Bear Case

(53:16) Final Thoughts

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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance