header-langage
简体中文
繁體中文
English
Tiếng Việt
한국어
日本語
ภาษาไทย
Türkçe
Scan to Download the APP
Single Episode:157
Forward Guidance
Host Introduction:
The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Jack Farley interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision.
The Unwinding Of The Global U.S Dollar Trade | Weekly Roundup

This week, we're back with another weekly roundup to discuss the unwinding of the U.S Dollar & it's impact on markets. We deep dive into this weeks economic data, rising geopolitical conflict, the global fiscal supercycle & more. Enjoy!



Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp


Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_


Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_




Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance



Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv



Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/


--


Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.




Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.


--


Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(04:10) The Market Is Fading Geopolitical Conflict


(11:42) Ads (Aptos, Arkham)


(12:52) Takeaways From Economic Data


(16:33) The U.S Debt Refinancing Cycle


(21:42) How To Stop The Long End Sell-Off


(29:08) The Unwinding Of The U.S. Dollar Trade


(35:13) The Weimarification Of U.S Markets


(38:19) The Global Fiscal Supercycle


(41:02) Will A.I Bail Us Out?


--


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

50分23秒 2025-06-14
Former Fed Official & Stablecoin Expert On The Future Of Money | Robert Bench

In this episode, Robert Bench – former Fed official, USDC co-creator, and now founder of Radius – joins to unpack the real story behind Project Hamilton and the Fed’s digital dollar pivot. He explains why CBDCs became politically radioactive, how stablecoins are replacing the card networks, and why America must act fast or lose the future of money to China. Plus: how Radius plans to disrupt AdWords with scalable payments infrastructure—and more. Enjoy!




__


Follow Robert: https://www.linkedin.com/in/robert-bench-7a535b11/


Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance





Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv



__


Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.




Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.





Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(01:59) Circle & Stablecoin Innovations


(08:42) Ads (Ledger, Arkham)


(10:00) Building CBDCs


(20:47) Unpacking the CBDC Pushback


(25:36) Where Stablecoins Stand Today


(32:05) MMFs & Stablecoin Yields


(32:59) Ads (Ledger, Arkham)


(34:36) MMFs & Stablecoin Yields


(38:33) Innovating Payments & Attention Economy


(52:10) Stablecoin Endgame


(58:28) Final Thoughts




__


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.




#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance



59分14秒 2025-06-11
The Trump–Elon Fallout Proves Nothing Stops The Spending Train | Weekly Roundup

This week, Felix and Tyler unpack the unraveling Trump–Elon alliance as a microcosm of fiscal denial, explore the slow death of austerity, and discuss why endless debt and political gridlock may actually be bullish. They dive deep into the brewing housing market crack, the quiet rise of crypto IPOs like Circle, and the generational shift from TradFi despair to crypto optimism. Plus, reflections on Larry Fink’s globalization rebrand, market structure flows holding up, and more. Enjoy!





Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_


Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Subscribe to Milk Road: https://bit.ly/43EDdiW





Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1badYX4f8iXwp3_nN7zm_hu0dVINu80QF/view?usp=drive_link





Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv





Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com




Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$270M in aBTC minted. https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/




Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.





Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(02:43) The Narrative Market


(03:49) Austerity Isn’t Happening


(06:27) Fed Easing, Jobs Data & Liquidity


(10:57) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham, Milk Road)


(13:09) Inflation & Stagflation Threat


(15:23) Housing Market


(21:08) Crypto Boom Time


(25:34) Crypto Is Changing


(29:07) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham)


(31:31) BTC ETF Holders


(32:49) Saylor & Crypto Treasury Companies


(34:46) 2nd Draft of Globalization


(40:25) Chamath & The New Media


(44:09) Everything Will Change


(47:23) Market Structure


(52:23) Flows vs Fundamentals


(55:23) Final Thoughts





Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.



56分20秒 2025-06-06
The New Regime People Don’t Want To Accept | Jim Bianco

In this episode, Jim Bianco Jim Bianco returns to break down why the post-COVID economy has completely broken old models, how soft data continues to mislead markets, and why 5% yields are now the new normal. He explains why everyone got April wrong, what the return of bond vigilantes means for fiscal policy, and how the Fed is out of step with reality. They also dive into Trump’s tariff strategy, the collapse of DOGE, the global shift toward bill issuance, and more. Enjoy!


__


Follow Jim: https://x.com/biancoresearch


Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx


Subscribe to Milk Road: https://bit.ly/43EDdiW





Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv



__


Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com




Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.




Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.





(00:00) Introduction


(01:26) People Just Don’t Get it


(04:44) The Narrative Market


(12:36) Ads (Blockdaemon, Ledger, Arkham, Milk Road)


(14:54) Trump Goals vs Reality


(21:01) Tariffs or Capital Controls?


(27:10) What is the Role of Monetary Policy?


(32:43) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger)


(35:05) Rate Cuts vs Hikes


(42:22) Who’s Buying Bonds?


(50:46) The Short Duration Shift


(54:59) Gold & Bitcoin


(57:44) US vs RoW Assets




__


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.



1时05分24秒 2025-06-04
Trump’s Tariff War Gets Sidelined By The Courts | Weekly Roundup

This week, we discuss the federal court injunction against Trump’s tariffs and whether this marks a true policy shift or just legal theater. The crew also dives into stealth bailouts via Treasury bill issuance, Japan’s inflation puzzle, AI’s productivity promises, and the looming housing and credit crunch. Plus, stablecoins are emerging as major buyers of U.S. debt. Enjoy!





Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_


Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp


Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx





Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1y-opkz9g_zdZo2XzMWZ4KnE7PzzmvTSe/view?usp=sharing





Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv





Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com




Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.




Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$200M in aBTC minted.


Check out https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ to learn more!







Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(03:10) Permissionless


(04:25) Court Blocks Trump Tariffs


(10:04) Has Anything Really Changed?


(11:16) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Aptos)


(12:59) Has Anything Really Changed?


(15:44) Economy Mostly Fine


(17:32) It’s All About Flows


(20:46) BOJ & The Acronym Factory


(25:36) AI Disruption


(30:09) Japan Financial Repression


(32:08) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Aptos)


(34:33) Delinquencies & Real Wages


(36:07) Endowments, VC, & Private Markets


(42:46) Housing Teetering


(47:16) Trump & Powell Meet


(48:38) Winning Innovation Themes


(50:54) BIS Stablecoin Paper





Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.



54分44秒 2025-05-30
The US Economy Is About To Take Off And Bring Stocks With It | David Cervantes

In this episode, David Cervantes from Pinebrook Capital breaks down 2025’s shifting macro landscape, covering fiscal stimulus, inflation, Fed policy, and market positioning. He highlights strong US deficits supporting growth, labor market shifts from immigration, and the chances of a June rate cut. He compares US vs. global equities, fixed income challenges, gold’s role, and small caps’ struggles with sector-specific opportunities. Enjoy!


__


Follow David: https://x.com/EconstratPB


Follow Pinebrook: https://www.pinebrookcap.com/


Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx





Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv



__


Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com




Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.




Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.




Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$200M in aBTC minted.


Check out https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ to learn more!





Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(01:34) YTD Macro Recap


(06:13) The Big Macro Picture


(11:29) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger, Aptos)


(13:57) Rate Hike Dilemma


(15:57) Tuning Out the Noise


(18:10) Labor Market


(22:59) Fed Policy Reaction


(29:07) Growth Outlook


(31:20) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger, Aptos)


(34:30) Structural Bid to Assets


(37:36) US vs ROW


(45:20) Fixed Income Outlook


(47:42) Gold Outlook


(48:39) Small Caps vs Large Caps


(55:12) Final Thoughts




__


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.



56分05秒 2025-05-28
America’s Debt Spiral Is Accelerating | Weekly Roundup

This week, we discuss the U.S. fiscal pivot, soaring deficits, and what it means for bond markets, Bitcoin, and global capital flows. We also debate whether Japan is the canary in the coal mine for sovereign debt risks, if QE is still politically viable, the housing market crisis, and why Bitcoin and foreign equities may be the only rational long-term trades. Enjoy!



Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_


Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp


Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx



Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zNQbt0lyXLmZQYf-56mneLpPxFNJ5y7h/view?usp=sharing



Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv



Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com


Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.


Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network’s bridged assets with ~$200M in aBTC minted.


Check out https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ to learn more!



Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(01:46) Big Beautiful Bill


(06:47) There’s One Trade


(09:39) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham)


(11:21) Government Spending Problem


(14:10) US Economic Data


(16:55) Housing Market Crisis


(22:12) Global Collateral & JGBs


(27:21) Food Prices & Labor


(30:46) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham)


(33:10) Bond Yields & Inflation


(38:32) Liquidity & Collateral Stress


(42:03) US Equities Still Safe?


(50:37) Final Thoughts



Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.



54分48秒 2025-05-23
America Is Risking A Liz Truss Moment | Kevin Muir

In this episode, author of the MacroTourist newsletter Kevin Muir joins the show to unpack why fiscal dominance is the defining force in today’s markets. He explains how MMT helped him rethink macro, why higher interest rates have recently been stimulative, and how the U.S. deficit is fueling both market resilience and long-term risk. We also dive into Trump's economic policies, potential capital controls, foreign capital repatriation, the implications for bonds and equities, and why Muir is positioning for FX volatility and a major private credit unwind. Enjoy!


__


Follow Kevin: https://x.com/kevinmuir


Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx



Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv


__


Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com


Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.


Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.



Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(01:56) Two Macro Buckets


(07:50) Higher Rates Stimulative?


(14:03) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger)


(15:52) Credit Ratings & Deficits


(18:46) Challenges of Cutting Deficits


(28:09) Capital Controls Next?


(33:02) Time to Own Volatility


(38:43) FX Volatility


(39:35) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger)


(41:57) Global Inflection Point


(49:12) US Bond Market


(55:11) Firing Powell & the Dollar


(57:28) Equities & Risk Premium


(01:01:26) US Outlook: Bullish ROW?


(01:06:41) Corporate Credit


(01:10:22) Final Thoughts


__


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.





1时11分36秒 2025-05-21
The Fiscal Spiral Has No Off Switch | Weekly Roundup

This week, the trio is back! We discuss the Trump-China tariff deal, Tyler’s structural framework driven by political utility markets, the tax bill, and widening fiscal deficits. We also dig into the repatriation of foreign capital, the yield curve's breaking point, and how AI-driven productivity might justify tech valuations. Enjoy!

Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp
Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_
Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx
Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/17yIKpOcGu-wv67vfeKu5I7Lo17hftwgk/view?usp=sharing
Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv
Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.
Learn more: www.blockdaemon.comArkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.
Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks
Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.

Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction


(01:05) Tyler’s Back!


(03:53) China Deal & Tyler’s Framework


(09:56) Inflation & Labor


(11:20) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham)


(12:17) US Trade & Debt Reality


(19:58) Generational Repatriation


(22:23) MicroStrategy Monetizing Volatility


(24:02) Inflation & Capital Controls


(27:05) Tax Bill & Deficit Expansion


(28:56) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham)


(30:27) Dollar & Bond Market Breaking


(35:32) Stock Flows, Volatility & Sentiment


(38:08) US Equities & AI


(43:14) Asian Currencies


(45:21) New System in Motion


(47:07) Short Bond Trade


(49:34) Final Thoughts





Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

52分32秒 2025-05-17
The Next Big Trade Is Hiding In Plain Sight | Citrini

In this episode, James of Citrini Research returns to unpack his framework for understanding Trump-era macro policy, highlighting why the trade war pause was inevitable, the return of the three-legged stool, and how the "big beautiful bill" could fuel equities. He also outlines why robotics might be the next great secular investment, breaks down China’s robotics lead, and more. Enjoy!


__


Follow Citrini: https://x.com/Citrini7


Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance


Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx





Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv




__


Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.


Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com




Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.


Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks


Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.




Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world’s crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on https://Ledger.com.




At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all.


Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/





Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(01:54) Trump, Tariffs & Macro Overview


(10:48) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger, Ondo)


(12:54) Taxes, Deregulation & Fiscal


(18:45) Deficit, Defense & DOGE


(22:57) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham, Ledger, Ondo)


(25:43) AI & Robotics


(35:28) Macro Impact of AI & Robotics


(39:08) Investing in Robotics


(44:52) China vs USA


(48:44) Subsidizing to Build Reliance


(51:53) Citrini's Core Thesis




__


Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.



55分18秒 2025-05-16
See More
Recommended Hosts
Single Episode:28
2024-03-18
名片
Single Episode:3
2021-04-26
名片
Single Episode:7
2023-11-15