This week, Brent Johnson joins us to break down the latest CPI & PPI data, the potential for September rate cuts, and why he thinks we’re ripe for a 10–15% correction. We also unpack Trump’s political strategy toward Powell, Brent’s dollar milkshake theory, and AI’s long-term impact on productivity, inflation, and the next generation. Enjoy!
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Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for 100 OFF
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london
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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1HpY5-OGzqa3t0tVz1a-2RnUXCI6BbZU5/view?usp=sharing
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This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.
Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):
http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix
Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):
vaneck.com/SMHXFelix
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(04:28) Inflation Heating Up?
(07:45) Brent's Macro Outlook
(12:08) VanEck Ad
(12:53) Should the Fed Cut?
(16:01) Time for a Correction?
(28:58) VanEck Ad
(29:38) Dampening of Animal Spirits
(33:29) Going Full Ponzi?
(37:15) The Imperial Circle
(41:31) Is the Dollar Milkshake Still Intact?
(48:45) Gold & Gold Miners
(51:13) Bifurcated Economy
(55:29) AI Boom Bearing Fruit?
(58:41) What Does Trump Really Want?
(01:22:11) The Younger Generation Is Screwed
(01:04:12) Stablecoins & the US Empire
(01:07:06) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
In this episode, David Grider of Finality Capital shares how he runs a digital asset hedge fund, the rise of digital asset treasury companies, and the evolving credit and derivatives markets shaping institutional crypto adoption. He also explains how macro liquidity signals drive his strategy and why the new toolbox of crypto credit instruments is changing the game for risk management and alpha generation. Enjoy!
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Follow David: https://x.com/David_Grid
Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc
Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance
Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_
Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx
Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance
__
Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for 100 OFF
https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london
__
This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.
Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):
http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix
Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):
vaneck.com/SMHXFelix
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(04:49) Running A Liquid Crypto Fund
(09:29) VanEck Ad
(10:14) Main Sources of Alpha
(12:29) Have We Had an Alt Season?
(14:34) Evolution of Crypto Derivatives
(17:46) Quantifying Market Froth
(20:32) Measuring Systemic Risk
(25:22) VanEck Ad
(26:03) Can ETH DATs Issue Preferreds?
(29:15) Crypto’s Credit Market
(31:54) What Happens When NAV is Negative?
(33:59) Framework for Saylor’s New Yield Curve
(38:42) What Should Saylor Do Next?
(44:13) Managing the full Spectrum of Tools
(48:21) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance