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Markets Are Underestimating the Risk of 10–15% Correction | Weekly Roundup
1时07分41秒
08-15
Episode Summary
Voice Summary:
0:00:00

This week, Brent Johnson joins us to break down the latest CPI & PPI data, the potential for September rate cuts, and why he thinks we’re ripe for a 10–15% correction. We also unpack Trump’s political strategy toward Powell, Brent’s dollar milkshake theory, and AI’s long-term impact on productivity, inflation, and the next generation. Enjoy!



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Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for 100 OFF


https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london


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Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1HpY5-OGzqa3t0tVz1a-2RnUXCI6BbZU5/view?usp=sharing



This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.






Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):


http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix






Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):


vaneck.com/SMHXFelix



Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(04:28) Inflation Heating Up?


(07:45) Brent's Macro Outlook


(12:08) VanEck Ad


(12:53) Should the Fed Cut?


(16:01) Time for a Correction?


(28:58) VanEck Ad


(29:38) Dampening of Animal Spirits


(33:29) Going Full Ponzi?


(37:15) The Imperial Circle


(41:31) Is the Dollar Milkshake Still Intact?


(48:45) Gold & Gold Miners


(51:13) Bifurcated Economy


(55:29) AI Boom Bearing Fruit?


(58:41) What Does Trump Really Want?


(01:22:11) The Younger Generation Is Screwed


(01:04:12) Stablecoins & the US Empire


(01:07:06) Final Thoughts





Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.






#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance



Next Episode
Crypto Credit Markets Will Rewrite Risk Management | David Grider

In this episode, David Grider of Finality Capital shares how he runs a digital asset hedge fund, the rise of digital asset treasury companies, and the evolving credit and derivatives markets shaping institutional crypto adoption. He also explains how macro liquidity signals drive his strategy and why the new toolbox of crypto credit instruments is changing the game for risk management and alpha generation. Enjoy!


__


Follow David: https://x.com/David_Grid 


Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc


Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance 


Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ 




Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx 


Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance 


__


Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for 100 OFF


https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london 


__


This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.




Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): 


http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix




Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): 


vaneck.com/SMHXFelix



Timestamps:


(00:00) Introduction


(04:49) Running A Liquid Crypto Fund


(09:29) VanEck Ad


(10:14) Main Sources of Alpha


(12:29) Have We Had an Alt Season?


(14:34) Evolution of Crypto Derivatives


(17:46) Quantifying Market Froth


(20:32) Measuring Systemic Risk


(25:22) VanEck Ad


(26:03) Can ETH DATs Issue Preferreds?


(29:15) Crypto’s Credit Market


(31:54) What Happens When NAV is Negative?


(33:59) Framework for Saylor’s New Yield Curve


(38:42) What Should Saylor Do Next?


(44:13) Managing the full Spectrum of Tools


(48:21) Final Thoughts


__


Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.




#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance



49分04秒 2025-08-20
Host
Single Episode:183
08-15